KNOWING ONE'S DISTRICT: HOW LEGISLATORS PREDICT REFERENDUM VOTING
In: American journal of political science: AJPS, Band 19, Heft 2, S. 231-246
ISSN: 0092-5853
THIS STUDY ASSESSES THE ABILITY OF LEGISLATORS TO PREDICT CONSTITUENCY OPINION BY COMPARING THE PREDICTIONS MADE BY MEMBERS OF FLORIDA'S LOWER HOUSE WITH ACTUAL CONSTITUENCY OPINION AS REFLECTED IN SUBSEQUENT REFERENDUM RESULTS. AN ATTEMPT IS ALSO MADE TO IDENTIFY WHAT INFLUENCES LEGISLATORS' PREDICTIONS. PREVIOUS CONSTITUENCY VOTING BEHAVIOR IS OFTEN THE GUIDE TO THE LEGISLATORS' PREDICTIONS.